Saad choosing a Symbolic Date and a Cautious Return
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri is cautiously preparing to return to Lebanon on February 14, marking the 20th anniversary of his father Rafic Hariri’s assassination. This date holds deep significance for Lebanon, as Rafik Hariri’s death reshaped the country’s political landscape. Saad Hariri’s return is not just a personal act of remembrance but a potential turning point in his political journey. Torn between the desire to reclaim his influence and fears of straining relations with Saudi Arabia, Hariri faces one of the most critical decisions of his career.
Divided Opinions: Advisors and Their Perspectives
Hariri’s inner circle is split. Some of his advisors believe that he should seize this moment to reenter the political arena and prepare for the upcoming elections. They argue that his absence has created a vacuum, allowing new Sunni leaders to rise, which could permanently weaken the Future Movement, the party his father founded. Others in his camp advise caution, urging him to wait until he secures clear support from key Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia. Without such backing, they fear his return could be politically and financially damaging.
The Saudi Factor
Saudi Arabia’s support plays a pivotal role in Hariri’s decision-making process. Historically, the Hariri family has maintained strong ties with the kingdom, benefiting from both political and financial support. However, relations have cooled in recent years, particularly after Saad Hariri’s resignation under controversial circumstances in 2017. Some of his supporters believe that winning seats in the upcoming parliamentary elections could pressure Saudi Arabia to reconsider its position and restore ties, possibly even rebuilding a relationship with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. On the other hand, skeptics warn that returning without Saudi “green card” it could worsen tensions and risk Hariri’s financial interests in the Gulf region.
Internal Struggles Within the “political Harirism”
While Hariri grapples with external pressures, the Future Movement faces internal challenges. The party has been losing momentum, with many supporters feeling disillusioned and new leaders emerging to fill the leadership void. Hariri’s prolonged absence has fueled doubts about the party’s future direction. Key figures within the movement have met with Hariri in Abu Dhabi, urging him to return before it’s too late. They argue that his leadership is essential to unite the party and prevent further breaks, especially as Lebanon approaches critical elections.
A Defining Speech on the Horizon
Hariri is expected to deliver a significant speech around February 14, where he will announce his decision regarding his political future. This speech will not only define his personal trajectory but could also reshape the broader Lebanese political landscape. The nation is keen to see if he will echo his father’s legacy, emphasizing Lebanon’s resilience and unity, or if he will adopt a more cautious and measured tone, reflecting the complex regional dynamics at play. This decision holds great significance, as it could influence the course of Lebanon’s future amid ongoing challenges and uncertainties. The anticipation surrounding Hariri’s speech is intense, with everyone eager to hear his vision and the path he intends to take.
The Road Ahead: High Stakes for Lebanon
As February 14 approaches, Lebanon anxiously awaits Hariri’s decision, which will significantly impact his political career, the Future Movement, and the country’s stability. This pivotal moment could either rejuvenate his influence or mark the end of the Hariri dynasty. The stakes are incredibly high as the nation anticipates Hariri’s next move, eager to see how it will shape Lebanon’s future. With every passing day, the anticipation grows, and everyone is closely watching to see what path Hariri will choose and what it means for Lebanon’s future.
